Historical precedents

Registries of what happened the last times a thing like this happened — the parties, the duration, how it ended, and what the data recorded around it.

Each registry states its own provenance, because the two kinds are not the same evidentiary object. Hand-verified registries were researched and written by hand, with every figure index-linked to a primary source. Compiled registries were rendered by a script out of one named academic dataset and have not been individually checked. They are never mixed inside a registry, and the label is on every page.

Maritime chokepoint closures

Hand-verified

The last times a critical strait or canal was closed

12 events · 1806–2023

Hand-verified against primary sources

Interstate armed conflicts

Compiled, not verified

The last times two states' armed forces fought each other

53 conflicts · 1946–2025

Compiled from UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset v26.1 — not individually verified